If you’re betting in the English Premier League this season, keep an eagle eye out for some anomalous value in the season’s opening weeks.
Each new season seems to generate some weird results during August and September as teams put great little runs together that they aren’t really expected to and vice-versa.
Also, there are three new bosses at the helm of the Premier League’s three favourites to win the title – namely the two Manchester clubs and Chelsea where, of course, we have the return of the “special one”.
Who’ll start well?
These factors could combine to create one of the most volatile starts the season has ever seen – so it’s all about trying to decide who will come out of the starting blocks the quickest.
This time last year, for example, early backers of Swansea City under the astute stewardship of Michael Laudrup enjoyed some really spectacular gains before the market caught up with events. This year may be a good time to bet against the big three getting off to a good start under their new bosses. Any weakness can really snowball and it won’t take long for panic to set in.
Keep a specific eye on Southampton’s fixtures, too. Since Mauricio Pochettino arrived at St Mary’s, the club’s results have been a little patchy to say the least. The Argentine has only been in the post since last January, but he has already managed to mastermind memorable victories including a 3–1 home win over Liverpool and a 2–1 result against Chelsea, also at the St Mary's ground.
In other words, the Saints seem capable of beating anyone on their day – and vice-versa. This can create some long shot opportunities and we’re specifically looking at the Saints’ journeys to Liverpool and Manchester United in September and October as long shot chances.
Spurs for the shrewdies
We also expect Tottenham to generally punch above their weight and to be an even greater force to be reckoned with in the year ahead. Spurs boss André Villas-Boas has only been in charge for just over a year and is only 35 – so he’s still finding his feet in the Premier League.
If the White Hart Lane board can be patient enough, we feel he will do well. A big question mark remains over whether Gareth Bale will stay or not – but either way, Spurs have signaled their lofty ambitions with the club record £26 million signing of Roberto Soldado from Valencia. And even if Bale does go, this will boost Boas’s coffers for more signings.
Elsewhere, Manchester United could take a while to settle under David Moyes, who is completely untested at a big budget club whose fans expect to win every game. Any rocking of the ship there could easily see a little panic set in – so it’s worth keeping a close eye on events on the pitch to make an opinion about future anomalous value. We certainly wouldn’t be backing United for the title – preferring Chelsea at the odds given the return of the “special one”.
Easy cash boost
Also, if you’re interested in trying to boost your stake with some substantial easy cash, check out UK Casino Club whose introductory welcome bonuses have to be seen to be believed. If you play your cards right here, you could easily build a decent stake for a few shrewd Premier League bets given a good run.
Another team to bet against in the early stages with your free cash (if you’re lucky enough) could well be Manchester City. New boss Manuel Pellegrini has zero experience in English football and is under enormous pressure to do well – a pressure which could yet prove too demanding for manager and players. Since leaving City, Carlos Tevez has been vocal in his opinion that pressure from the media and fans ruined City’s chances of winning the league last season, so watch this space.